What Fight DNA is — and is not
As stated on the product
“Not a prediction. Fight DNA describes what the record shows.” It is also not a grade: there are no letter scores, gauges, percentiles or “elite” labels.
Fight DNA turns a fighter's official round-level record into rates you can compare across fighters with different amounts of cage time.
Per-15-minute rates
rate per 15 = count × 900 / observed seconds td_landed_per_15 = takedowns landed × 900 / observed seconds
- Fighter A: 12 takedowns in 60 minutes of cage time.
- Fighter B: 6 takedowns in 15 minutes.
- Per 15: A = 12 × 900 / 3600 = 3.0; B = 6 × 900 / 900 = 6.0.
B lands takedowns twice as often per minute, despite half the total — but on a quarter of the sample.
Sample-size tiers
| Tier | Bouts | Observed seconds |
|---|---|---|
| High | 8 or more | 5,400 or more |
| Medium | 3–7 | 1,800–5,399 |
| Low | Below Medium | Below Medium |
| Insufficient | — | Withheld rather than shown as zero |
Missing round coverage is never rendered as a zero. A blank is honest: "we do not know", which is different from "never happens".
Limitations
Rates describe past opposition. A fighter's takedown rate against lower-level opponents may not transfer to a step up in competition, and short-notice or weight-class changes add uncertainty the rate does not capture.