MLB · PBEcastLive product ↗
Reading PBEcast and the Live Casts
What am I looking at on a live cast, and what is it telling me?
LearnThe Sports Intelligence Academy
Learn the edge.
Understand the data. Read the models. Make sense of the game.
The education layer behind PropBetEdge — probability, model literacy, sports data, live-game intelligence, and the tools behind our sports intelligence products.
PBE intelligence moduleWorked example · illustrativeReading a price against a model
Two-way market −130 / +108 · PBE model 64.0%
01 · Raw implied56.5% + 48.1% = 104.6%
A 56.5B 48.1
100%
02 · Remove the vigoverround 4.6 pts
No-vig mkt54.0%
PBE model64.0%
▲ +10.0ptsModel above market. A disagreement is a hypothesis about accuracy — not proof of value.
Curriculum35lessons4 learning paths
Academies10sportsAcross the PropBetEdge network
Model Lab7toolsEV to Monte Carlo
Reference128terms36 quiz questions
01 · Curriculum
4 tracks, one skill: reading probability honestly.
Start with Foundations if prices are new to you. Every lesson answers one real question with formulas, a worked example and its limitations.
Foundations
Odds, implied probability, the vig, break-even, expected value, bankroll and closing line value. The math every other lesson assumes.
- Prop bets 101
- American & decimal odds
- Implied probability
- Vig & fair odds
- Break-even rate
- 3 more lessons
0 of 8 complete
Model Literacy
Distributions, Poisson, simulation, calibration, Brier score and log loss, sample size, overfitting and holdouts — how to judge any model’s numbers.
- Distributions
- Poisson
- Simulation
- Calibration
- Brier & log loss
- 4 more lessons
0 of 9 complete
Live Intelligence
Game state, live win probability, lineup and withdrawal changes, and the pitch, possession and round as live units.
- Game state
- Live win probability
- Pregame vs live
- Context changes
- Pitch · possession · round
0 of 5 complete
Inside PropBetEdge
How to read PBEcast, HR Targets, Touchdown Targets, PBE Picks, Fight DNA, the Fight Simulator, Tennis DNA, Soccer Player DNA, track records and confidence labels.
- Network tour
- PBEcast & live casts
- HR Targets
- Touchdown Targets
- PBE Picks & track records
- 8 more lessons
0 of 13 complete
02 · Sport academies
10 sports, one way of reading them.
Every academy in the PropBetEdge network follows one structure: what matters, the data, common metrics, model concepts, live intelligence, the PropBetEdge tools and a worked example.
BASEBALL
MLB Academy
Statcast, pitch state, HR Targets, PBEcast
PBEcastHR TargetsK PropsTrack Record
FOOTBALL
NFL Academy
Usage, game script, PBE Picks, Touchdown Targets
PBEcast Game CenterPBE PicksTouchdown TargetsTrack Record
BASKETBALL
NBA Academy
Minutes, pace, usage, NBACast
NBACastPBE PicksModelsTrack Record
BASKETBALL
WNBA Academy
WinBA Score, PBE model, WNBACast
WNBACastPBE PicksHow the model worksTrack Record
HOCKEY
NHL Academy
Shots, goalies, PBE Cast, shadow models
PBE CastPBE PicksShot LabGoalies
GOLF
Golf Academy
Live scoring, PBEcast, courses, weather, Player DNA
PBEcastLive GolfTournamentsPlayers
SOCCER
Soccer Academy
Player DNA, PBEcast, competitions, match intelligence
PBEcastPlayer DNAPBE PicksTrack Record
TENNIS
Tennis Academy
ATP, WTA, Match DNA, rankings, PBEcast
Tennis DNAPBEcastMatchupsRankings
MIXED MARTIAL ARTS
UFC / MMA Academy
Fight DNA, PBE Fight Model, Fight Simulator
PBE AlgoPBE PicksTrack Record & Past PicksPBE Fight Model card
BOXING
Boxing Academy
Scorecards, judges, titles, records
Fight WeekScorecardsJudgesTitles
03 · Prediction markets
Read event contracts like probabilities, not promises.
Learn Kalshi and Polymarket mechanics, sports event contracts, culture markets, weather settlement, order books, liquidity, resolution rules and how PropBetEdge Predictions compares independent forecasts with venue prices.
Academy
Prediction Markets
Sports, culture and weather — from contract wording to settlement.
Interactive playbook
Market Intelligence Playbook
The market has a price. Learn what it means — rules, spreads, fees, model vs market and risk.
Platform guide
Kalshi explained
Yes/No event contracts, exchange mechanics, sports and weather markets.
Platform guide
Polymarket explained
Outcome shares, implied probabilities, liquidity and resolution rules.
04 · Model Lab
A quantitative lab that shows its work.
Each instrument explains its result, asks how uncertain your inputs are, and lists its limitations.
PBE Model Lab · 7 instrumentsfree · no account
01Expected valueEV = p·(d − 1) − (1 − p)OPEN →02Odds converterimplied = 1 / decimalOPEN →03Break-even and vigp* = 1 / d · overround = Σ implied − 1OPEN →04Kelly sizingf* = (p·b − q) / bOPEN →05Closing line valueCLV = d_taken / d_close − 1OPEN →06Parlay mathP = Π pᵢ · D = Π dᵢOPEN →07Monte Carlo bankroll simulatorN paths × n bets · seededOPEN →
Variance, simulatedseed 21
05 · Inside PropBetEdge
The lessons map to real production intelligence.
From MLB and NFL to Tennis and Soccer: each module is a live PropBetEdge product and the lesson that teaches you to read it — what each number means, and what it does not.
NFL · Touchdown TargetsLive product ↗
Reading Touchdown Targets
What does a PBE TD Target tell me, and why are some games empty?
Tennis · Tennis DNALive product ↗
Reading Tennis DNA
What does a Tennis DNA percentile actually tell me?
Tennis · PBEcastLive product ↗
Reading Tennis PBEcast
What is Tennis PBEcast showing me, and how fine-grained is it really?
Soccer · Player DNALive product ↗
Reading Soccer Player DNA
A striker is 85th percentile in shots per 90. What does that tell me, and what does it not?
Soccer · PBEcastLive product ↗
Reading Soccer PBEcast
What does a marker on the Soccer PBEcast pitch represent?
Network search
Search a concept. Land on the lesson, the term and the live tool.
Learn is wired into PropBetEdge Search: one query returns lessons, glossary entries and calculators from Learn, plus players, teams, fighters, tools and stories from across the network.
Glossary
128 terms, each with an example
Probability, Betting math, Model evaluation, Baseball, Football, Basketball, Hockey, Soccer, Tennis, MMA & combat sports, Prediction markets, PropBetEdge terms.
How we teach
Three rules every lesson follows
Probabilities, not promises
A 70% outcome fails three times in ten. Every result is framed as a probability with its uncertainty, never as a certainty.
Show the evidence
Formulas, worked examples, sample sizes and published model cards — including where a model did worse than the market.
Education, not picks
Learn explains how to read prices and models. It does not tell you what to bet or claim anything is guaranteed.
FAQ
Common questions
Is PropBetEdge Learn free?
Yes. Every lesson, calculator, glossary entry and quiz on Learn is free to use, with no account.
Does Learn tell me what to bet?
No. Learn explains probability, pricing and how to read model outputs. It does not make picks or recommendations, and no model output guarantees a result.
Where do the product explanations come from?
From the live PropBetEdge products and their published model cards and methodology pages, which each lesson links to. Learn explains how to interpret outputs; it does not publish proprietary model formulas.
What are the prediction-market guides?
Free explainers for event contracts and prediction markets, including Kalshi, Polymarket, sports, culture and weather markets. They teach mechanics, probability, resolution rules, liquidity and risk — not what to trade.
Is my progress saved?
In this browser only. Learn has no accounts, so lesson completion and quiz scores stay on your device.