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Live Intelligence · Lesson 1 of 5

Game State: The Unit of Live Intelligence

What exactly does a live model know that a pregame model does not?

Intermediate8 min readMLBNFLNBANHLUFC / MMA

State is everything the next moment depends on

A live number is a pregame number that has been told what happened.

Game state is the compact description of "where are we": score, time remaining, and the sport-specific situation that shapes what happens next. Two games tied 3–3 are in very different states if one has the bases loaded with nobody out.

SportState that matters mostWhy it matters
MLBInning, outs, runners on base (base-out state), count, pitcherRun expectancy changes sharply with outs and runners
NFLScore, clock, possession, down, distance, field position, timeoutsDown and distance change the value of a possession
NBA / WNBAScore, clock, possession, fouls, lineups on courtPossession-by-possession scoring; late-game fouling
NHLScore, period, clock, strength (5v5, power play), empty netStrength changes scoring rates dramatically
UFC / BoxingRound, time, scheduled rounds, cards so far, damageA fight’s remaining length depends on the schedule and the finish risk

Where you see state on PropBetEdge

Every live surface on the network is built around state first: MLB PBEcast leads with the scoreboard, base-out diamond, live pitch and the batter–pitcher matchup; the NFL PBEcast Game Center leads with score, clock, possession and down-and-distance. See PBEcast & live casts for how to read them.

Limitations

Live state is only as current as its feed. Every live product has some delay between the field and the screen, so a live number describes the state it last received, not necessarily this instant.